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SP Angel analyst John Meyer said that with global EV sales expected to reach around 15 million vehicles this year, sales of palladium, chiefly used to neutralise harmful car emissions, could be impaired by 1.5 million-2.25 million ounces. While there are still few battery-powered vehicles in the heavy-duty market, exhaust-free electric vehicles are eating into the palladium-focused light vehicle market, Johnson Matthey said. Palladium prices could fall to the $1,250 level, Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA, said. "The reason why people are more pessimistic about palladium than platinum is due to adoption of EVs," he said. "There's a lack of interest in the palladium market.

Persons: John Meyer, Johnson, Wilma Swarts, PGMs, Johnson Matthey, Edward Moya, palladium's bearishness, Tai Wong, Bart Melek, Ashitha, Seher Dareen, Arundhati Sarkar, Brijesh Patel, Arpan Varghese, Jan Harvey Organizations: Palladium, SP, Metals, TD Securities, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, New York, China, Bengaluru

June 23 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell for a second straight session and were headed for a weekly decline of more than 3% on Friday, as a higher-than-expected interest rate hike in Britain and warnings about looming rate rises in the U.S. ignited concerns over demand. An increase in the value of the dollar, which has risen 0.3% this week, can weigh on oil demand by making the fuel more expensive for holders of other currencies. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would move interest rates at a "careful pace" from here as policymakers edge towards ending their historic round of monetary policy tightening. Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand. Fears of hikes by major central banks have clouded the fuel demand outlook for the rest of the year.

Persons: Brent, Tina Teng, Jerome Powell, Edward Moya, Arathy Somasekhar, Sonali Paul, Jamie Freed Organizations: U.S, West Texas, CMC, Bank of England, Energy Information Administration, Energy, OANDA, Thomson Locations: Britain, U.S

☆ Bitcoin eyes third straight day of gains after touching two-month high
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

June 21 (Reuters) - Bitcoin rallied for a third straight day after hitting its highest level since mid-April, boosted by BlackRock's (BLK.N) plan to create a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) even as the sector faces U.S. regulatory scrutiny. Earlier this month, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued major crypto exchanges including Coinbase and Binance. Bitcoin, the world's biggest and best-known cryptocurrency, was last up 5.5% on Wednesday at 29,881.00 after hitting a high of $30,755.00. "It started with BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF filing and now others are following," said Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at OANDA. "Who needs regulatory clarity if you see BlackRock making a move?"

Persons: Bitcoin, Schwab, Edward Moya, Juby Babu, Megan Davies, Sinéad Carew, Hannah Lang, Chris Reese, Richard Chang Organizations: BlackRock's, BlackRock, Street, Citadel Securities, Fidelity, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru, New York

☆ Stock futures are flat after a 3-day losing streak: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were flat in overnight trading Wednesday after the market suffered three consecutive days of declines as the tech-powered rally faded. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 23 points, or 0.07%. S&P 500 futures inched up by 0.05%, and Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed. "If other central banks seem poised to deliver more than a couple rate hikes, that might make it easier for the Fed to remain aggressive with tightening." Investors will also monitor weekly jobless claims data Thursday morning, which is expected to show a total of 256,000, according to economists polled by Dow Jones.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Powell, Edward Moya Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, AMD, Intel, Dow, Fed, Senate

NEW YORK, June 20 (Reuters) - Oil futures fell about 2% in choppy trading on Tuesday on forecasts for slower growth of oil demand in China, the world's second-biggest oil consumer, and disappointment with the size of cuts in China's key lending rates. "Oil traders may need to see a materialised strong economic rebound in China to improve their outlook on oil demand," said Tina Teng at CMC Markets in Auckland. Higher interest rates ultimately increase borrowing costs for consumers, which could reduce oil demand by slowing economic growth. A stronger dollar makes crude more expensive for holders of other currencies, which can reduce oil demand. On the supply side, Iran's crude exports and oil output have hit new highs this year despite U.S. sanctions.

Persons: Brent, Edward Moya, Tina Teng, Thomas Barkin, Scott DiSavino, Noah Browning, Katya Golubkova, Andrew Hayley, David Goodman, Matthew Lewis Organizations: YORK, . West Texas, CMC Markets, China, Administration, Customs, . Federal Reserve, Richmond Fed, U.S ., Organization of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, Auckland, Russia, New York, London, Tokyo, Beijing

A number of major banks have cut their 2023 gross domestic product growth forecasts for China after May data last week showed the post-COVID recovery in the world's second-largest economy was faltering. The oil and gas rig count, an early indicator of future output, fell by 8 to 687 in the week to June 16, lowest since April 2022. , , . Earlier this month, OPEC+ had agreed on a new oil output deal. The group's biggest producer Saudi Arabia also pledged to make a deep cut to its output in July. Reporting by Katya Golubkova in Tokyo and Emily Chow in Singapore; Editing by Tom HogueOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Brent, Tina Teng, PBOC, Edward Moya, Moya, Igor Sechin, Sechin, Katya Golubkova, Emily Chow, Tom Hogue Organizations: NK Rosneft, U.S, West Texas, People's Bank of China's, CMC Markets, Reuters, of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, United States, China, U.S, Russia, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Tokyo, Singapore

Data on Thursday showed China's oil refinery throughput rose 15.4% in May from a year earlier, hitting its second-highest total on record. In the United States, data released on Thursday showed retail sales unexpectedly rose in May, along with higher-than-expected jobless claims last week. A weaker dollar makes oil cheaper for holders of other currencies, which could boost demand. Still, a weak economic outlook looms over market sentiment, as China's industrial output and retail sales growth in May missed forecasts. Higher interest rates ultimately increase borrowing costs for consumers, which could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.

Persons: Edward Moya, OANDA, Stephanie Kelly, Leslie Adler, Jamie Freed Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Kuwait Petroleum, Organization of, Petroleum, European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: China, Kuwait, United States, Saudi Arabia, New York, Singapore

"Oil prices are expected to stay in a range of about 3 dollars above and below $70 for WTI in the near term," Satoru Yoshida, a commodity analyst with Rakuten Securities. Oil prices had risen early in the week following Saudi Arabia's pledge over the weekend for deep output cuts, but they pared gains after rising U.S. fuel stocks and weak Chinese export data. Yoshida said factors such as fears over tighter supply and higher demand as the United States enters driving season which could drive prices higher were being offset by worries over a slow pickup in China's fuel demand. "Crude prices didn't get any favours from China as their economic recovery has disappointed," OANDA analyst Edward Moya said. While a Reuters poll of economists showed the U.S. Federal Reserve could skip a rate hike at its June 13-14 meeting, the absence of similar signals from other major central banks was weighing on the oil demand outlook, Moya added.

Persons: Satoru Yoshida, Saudi Arabia's, Yoshida, Edward Moya, Moya, Yuka Obayashi, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Saudi, Brent, U.S . West Texas, WTI, Rakuten Securities, U.S . Federal, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, United States, Iran, U.S, United, China

☆ Dollar steady as traders consider Fed, global rates outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The increased expectations that U.S. and global interest rates may have further to rise has come on the back of surprise rate increases by the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) this week. The Canadian dollar was last steady at C$1.3365 to the greenback, after rising to a one-month top of C$1.3321 in the previous session. The U.S. dollar index dipped slightly to 104.02, though strayed not too far from an over two-month high hit last week, on the back of higher Treasury yields. Money markets are pricing in a 29% chance that the Fed raises rates by 25bps at its policy meeting next week. "Markets have raised their FOMC rate hike expectations following a surprise Bank of Canada rate hike," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

Persons: Edward Moya, Carol Kong, Ray Attrill Organizations: Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada, BoC, Reserve Bank of Australia, Wednesday, Canadian, U.S, European Central Bank, 25bps, of Canada, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank Locations: Chicago, Asia

☆ Greenback gains, Aussie jumps on RBA rate hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Karen Brettell | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

NEW YORK, June 6 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar gained against the euro and yen on Tuesday as investors focused on the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will continue hiking rates, while the Aussie jumped after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprised with a rate increase. “We’re waiting to see if inflation is going to provide some upside surprises,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York. Fed funds futures traders see the Fed as likely to then resume rate increases, with a 65% chance of an at least 25 basis-point increase in July, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. The euro was last down 0.15% against the dollar at $1.0694 and the greenback gained 0.06% to 139.64 yen . ========================================================Currency bid prices at 3:00PM (1900 GMT)Additional reporting by Samuel Indyk in London; Editing by Sharon Singleton and Chizu NomiyamaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: “, ”, Edward Moya, we’re, Moya, Chris Turner, Samuel Indyk, Sharon Singleton, Chizu Organizations: YORK, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, New York Fed, Bank of, BoC, U.S, Canadian, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York, London

Prices rose on Monday after Saudi Arabia said over the weekend it would cut output to around 9 million barrels per day (bpd) in July from about 10 million bpd in May. A stronger dollar can weigh on oil demand by making the fuel more expensive for holders of other currencies. Higher interest rates boost borrowing costs, which can slow the economy and reduce oil demand. EIA also projected U.S. petroleum demand would rise from 20.3 million bpd in 2022 to 20.4 million bpd in 2023 and 20.7 million bpd in 2024. That compares with a record 20.8 million bpd in 2005, according to EIA data going back to 1973.

Persons: Brent, Edward Moya, Scott DiSavino, Rowena Edwards, Arathy, Trixie Yap, David Goodman, Matthew Lewis, Chizu Nomiyama, Richard Chang Organizations: EIA, Saudi, U.S, West Texas, Citi, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank, Energy Information Administration, American Petroleum Institute, Thomson Locations: Saudi Arabia, Saudi, OPEC, China, U.S, Europe, New York, London, Houston, Singapore

Three OPEC+ sources told Reuters on Friday cuts were being discussed among options for Sunday's session, when OPEC+ ministers gather at 2 p.m. (1200 GMT) in Vienna. The sources said cuts could amount to 1 million bpd on top of existing cuts of 2 million bpd and voluntary cuts of 1.6 million bpd, announced in a surprise move in April and which took effect in May. If approved, this would take the total volume of reductions to 4.66 million bpd, or around 4.5% of global demand. The International Energy Agency expects global oil demand to rise further in the second half of 2023, potentially boosting oil prices. "There is simply too much supply," the JPMorgan analysts said in a note, noting extra cuts could amount to around 1 million bpd.

Persons: Leonhard, Russia's Novak, Hayan Abdel, Ghani, Suhail Al Mazroui, Prince Abdulaziz, Alexander Novak, Novak, Edward Moya, OANDA, Ahmad Ghaddar, Alex Lawler, Maha El Dahan, Julia Payne, Dmitry Zhdannikov, David Holmes Organizations: Austrian, REUTERS, LONDON, OPEC, Organization of, Petroleum, Reuters, UAE's Energy, Brent, Saudi Arabia's Energy, International Energy Agency, JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: Vienna, Austria, Saudi, OPEC, Russia, Ukraine, China, India, Russian

☆ Oil prices rise as Congress approves US debt ceiling bill
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Andrew Hayley | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Brendan McDermidBEIJING, June 2 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Friday amid bullish sentiment following the passage of a U.S. debt ceiling bill in Washington, while markets weighed the likelihood of price-supportive OPEC+ production cuts over the weekend. Further reductions in OPEC+ output following their surprise cut of 1.16 million barrels per day in April would be bullish for crude prices. Other market observers have pointed to weak manufacturing data out of China and the U.S. as making OPEC+ cuts more likely. "Oil prices are stabilizing after a round of disappointing global manufacturing data supported the case for OPEC+ to deliver another production cut," said Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at OANDA. However, traders are "thinking that Russia might not necessarily stick to a hard stance on output cuts, especially since they are struggling to commit to their quotes," Moya added.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Goldman Sachs, Edward Moya, Thursday's, Moya, Andrew Hayley, Jamie Freed, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Federal Reserve, Thursday's, Energy Information Administration, Organization of, Petroleum, Reuters, HSBC, OANDA, U.S ., Institute for Supply Management, PMI, P Global, Thomson Locations: New York Harbor, of, New York City, U.S, Brendan McDermid BEIJING, Washington, Russia, China, P Global China

Focus now shifts to the Labor Department's closely watched unemployment report for May, due on Friday. The data will help determine whether the Fed sticks with its aggressive rate hikes. "The market became confident that, 'wow the Fed rate hike for June is pretty much not happening' and confidence is falling for raising rates for July," he said. C3.ai Inc (AI.N) slumped after the artificial intelligence company forecast an annual revenue outlook below analysts' estimates. Dollar General Corp (DG.N) plunged as retail companies cut their full-year sales forecasts as high inflation dimmed the U.S. consumer outlook.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Edward Moya, I'm, Jimmy Chang, Chang, Jason Pride, We've, Herbert Lash, Shreyashi Sanyal, Shristi, Shounak Dasgupta, Maju Samuel, Deepa Babington Organizations: Labor, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, ADP, Labor Department, Unit, Futures, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Senate, Rockefeller Global, Nvidia Corp, Glenmede, Dow, Salesforce Inc, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Meta, Inc, General Corp, Thomson Locations: New York, Philadelphia, Bengaluru

Fed officials pointed toward a rate hike "skip" at its June 13-14 meeting, giving time for the central bank to assess the impact of its tightening cycle thus far against still-strong inflation data. U.S. manufacturing contracted for a seventh straight month in May as new orders continued to plummet amid higher interest rates, but factories boosted employment to a nine-month high. "We have made clear that we still have ground to cover to bring interest rates to sufficiently restrictive levels," Lagarde said in a speech. Money markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 basis point hike when the ECB meets on June 15. "There's a sort of narrowing interest rate differential ... when the ECB is expected to hike one or two more times and the Fed is more questionable about that."

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Edward Moya, Patrick Harker, payrolls, Lagarde, John Velis, Hannah Lang, Joice Alves, Rae Wee, Andrew Heavens, Will Dunham, Mark Potter, Leslie Adler Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reserve, European Central Bank, Fed, OANDA, Philadelphia Federal, ADP, Institute for Supply Management, ECB, BNY Mellon, Thomson Locations: OANDA . U.S, Washington, London, Singapore

☆ Gold hits 2-month low on debt talks progress, rate hike bets
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A one kilogram gold bar sits on top of silver bars at London bullion dealers Gold Investments in London, United Kingdom, on April 4, 2013. Gold slid to its lowest in two months on Thursday as optimism around the U.S. debt ceiling talks lowered safe-haven demand for bullion and robust economic data fueled bets of another rate hike by the Federal Reserve. Spot gold was 0.6% down at $1,944.45 per ounce, having hit its lowest since March 22. White House and Republican negotiators made some progress in late-night talks over raising the debt ceiling, top congressional Republican Kevin McCarthy said. "A rather impressive round of economic data suggests this economy is still showing so much resilience ... the argument for possibly delivering another rate hike is gaining steam here," Moya added.

Persons: Gold, Kevin McCarthy, Edward Moya, Moya, Ross Norman Organizations: London, Investments, Federal Reserve, White House, Republican, OANDA, Fed Locations: London, United Kingdom

☆ Dollar higher as U.S. debt ceiling concerns keep traders nervous
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar hit a two-month high against a basket of currencies on Tuesday as a lack of progress in talks over increasing the U.S. debt limit hurt investors' appetite for risk-taking. "I think the dollar saw a modest boost today as stocks have declined, mostly due to the lack of progress on the debt ceiling deal," said John Doyle, vice president of trading and dealing at Monex USA. While most market participants expect a deal eventually, the delay in getting it done was keeping traders nervous, Doyle said. "The focus is slowly going back towards inflation and all this hawkish Fed speak we've been getting," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York. "We're probably looking at a market that is repositioning itself for a little bit more dollar strength here as these Fed rate cut bets get pushed back a little bit further and higher for longer."

Persons: Joe Biden, John Doyle, Doyle, James Bullard, Neel Kashkari, we've, Edward Moya, Jerome Powell, Powell, Moya Organizations: U.S, Republicans, Monex USA, Fed, Traders Locations: New York

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell 97 cents, or 1.3%, to settle at $71.86. A stronger dollar can weigh on oil demand by making the fuel more expensive for holders of other currencies. High interest rates boost borrowing costs, which can slow the economy and reduce oil demand. The strength of April U.S. economic data in addition to optimism about the debt ceiling negotiations have strengthened market expectations of a further hike, ANZ Research said in a note on Thursday. Another factor that could reduce oil demand was a fire in Mexico at the Salina Cruz refinery owned by Mexican state oil company Pemex.

SummarySummary Companies Biden, McCarthy push forward towards deal on US debt ceilingU.S. rate hike prospect weighs on oil pricesMay 18 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell in early Asian trade on Thursday as traders warily watched for signs of progress on talks to raise the U.S. debt ceiling, after surging nearly 3% in the previous session on optimism over U.S. fuel demand. President Joe Biden and top U.S. congressional Republican Kevin McCarthy on Wednesday underscored their determination to reach a deal soon to raise the federal government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling and avoid an economically catastrophic default. On Thursday, investors were "awaiting further evidence that a deal will happen soon," said Edward Moya, an analyst at OANDA. Also weighing on prices was the increased probability of an interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve. After a months-long standoff, Biden and McCarthy on Tuesday agreed to negotiate directly.

☆ Oil prices ease on caution over U.S. debt ceiling talks
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil prices fell in early Asian trade on Thursday as traders warily watched for signs of progress on talks to raise the U.S. debt ceiling, after surging nearly 3% in the previous session on optimism over U.S. fuel demand. President Joe Biden and top U.S. congressional Republican Kevin McCarthy on Wednesday underscored their determination to reach a deal soon to raise the federal government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling and avoid an economically catastrophic default. "Crude needs a clear signal that the U.S. economy will avoid economic catastrophe or that China's recovery is picking up steam," he said. Also weighing on prices was the increased probability of an interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve. The strength of April economic data in the U.S., in addition to improving optimism about the debt ceiling negotiations and the health of regional banking stocks overnight have strengthened market expectations of a further hike, ANZ Research said in a note on Thursday.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude edged down 2 cents to $70.84 as of 0222 GMT. "Crude prices remain heavy as energy traders just can't shake off global demand concerns. U.S. crude stockpiles rose by about 3.6 million barrels in the week ended May 12, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures. U.S. government data on crude and product stockpiles is due at 1430 GMT. The U.S. Treasury Department has estimated that the United States will go into a crippling default as early as June 1 if Congress does not lift the debt ceiling.

☆ Oil dips on demand worries after unexpected U.S. crude build
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-17 | by ( Katya Golubkova | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Brent crude futures was 29 cents lower, or down by 0.4%, to $74.60 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude edged down by 32 cents, also 0.4% down, to $70.55, as of 0005 GMT. Right now too much oil is still available," Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA, said in a note. The U.S. Treasury Department has estimated that the United States will go into a crippling default as early as June 1 if Congress does not lift the debt ceiling. Oil prices fell even as the International Energy Agency raised its forecast for global oil demand this year by 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) to a record 102 million bpd.

TOKYO, May 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Tuesday, relinquishing some of the strong gains in the previous two sessions while the market remained cautious ahead of U.S. inflation figures for April, which will be key to the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision. "Oil prices have rebounded somewhat in the last two sessions, so now is time for a pause ... with no real positive data coming out," said Suvro Sarkar, lead energy analyst at DBS Bank. "The market is cautious today ahead of the inflation data.... With net long positions declining sharply over the last two weeks, a lot of traders are already out of the market, so volumes are low." While oil markets fell sharply last week, prices rose on Friday and Monday as fears of recession eased in the U.S., the world's biggest oil consumer, and some traders saw crude's three-week slide on demand worries as overdone. "Oil prices won't be able to rise that much from here given all the growth demand fears, but expectations are high for OPEC+ to try to keep prices above the $70 a barrel level," Moya's note said.

☆ Oil prices dip in cautious trade ahead of U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Katya Golubkova | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

TOKYO, May 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell in early trade on Tuesday, paring strong gains from the previous two sessions as markets remain cautious ahead of U.S. inflation figures for April which will be key to the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision. Markets are awaiting U.S. consumer price inflation figures for April due on Wednesday to provide some indication on the U.S. central bank's next rate decision. U.S. consumers said last month they expected slightly lower inflation in a year's time, a report showed on Monday. While oil markets fell sharply last week, prices rose on Friday and Monday as fears of recession in the U.S., the world's biggest oil consumer, eased and some traders saw crude's three-week slide on demand worries as overdone. "Oil prices won't be able to rise that much from here given all the growth demand fears, but expectations are high for OPEC+ to try to keep prices above the $70 a barrel level," Moya's note said.

Since Friday, however, Brent has dropped more than 9% and earlier on Thursday fell to as low as $71.28. Prices have plunged this week amid signs of weak manufacturing growth in China, the world's largest oil importer, and after the U.S., the world's biggest oil user, raised interest rates to their highest since 2007 on Wednesday, which threatens future economic growth there. "Oil is starting to find some support as all the bad supply and demand news has been priced in," said Edward Moya, an analyst at OANDA. The collapse of the third U.S. bank since March, spurred by their inability to manage rising interest rates, has also weighed overall financial markets. Investors are also awaiting developments from the European Central Bank, which is set to raise interest rates for the seventh meeting in a row on Thursday.

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